Forecasting Uncertainty: Why Scenario A Is Looking More Likely For Some Countries And Scenario B More Likely For Others

Last week, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) issued its April World Economic Outlook report. The headline was that the world’s real GDP would fall by 3% in 2020, which is a much steeper drop than in the 2008–2009 recession. For the purpose of projecting the tech market outlook, the more important numbers are real GDP […]